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Hurricane Dean

In a Little Cafe...
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Hurricane Dean

Below is the most recent advisory from the NHC, a government agency and public source for data on the now, Hurricane Dean;

Tropical Storm Public Advisory

Statement as of 5:00 am AST on August 16, 2007

...Corrected warnings...

...Dean becomes a hurricane...hurricane warnings issued...

at 5 am AST...0900 UTC...hurricane warnings have been issued for the

islands of Dominica and St. Lucia by their respective governments.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected

within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to

protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch continues for the islands of Martinique...

Guadeloupe and its dependencies...Saba...and St. Eustatius. A

Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within

the watch area...generally within 36 hours. Hurricane or tropical

storm warnings will likely be issued for some of these islands

later this morning.

At 5 am AST...0900 UTC...the meteorological service of Barbados has

issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Barbados. A Tropical Storm

Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within

the warning area within the next 24 hours.

At 5 am AST...0900 UTC...the meteorological service of Barbados has

issued a tropical storm watch for St. Vincent. A tropical storm

watch remains in effect for St. Maarten. A tropical storm watch

means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch

area...generally within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles...the Virgin

Island...Puerto Rico...and Hispaniola should monitor the progress

of Dean.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor

products issued by your local weather office.

At 500 am AST...0900z...the center of Hurricane Dean was located

near latitude 13.4 north...longitude 52.3 west or about 485 miles...

780 km...east of Barbados and about 590 miles...950 km...east of

Martinique.

Dean is moving toward the west near 24 mph...39 km/hr...and this

motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. This motion

should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph...120 km/hr...with higher

gusts. Dean is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson

scale. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24

hours. An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft will

investigate Dean this afternoon.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles...35 km...from

the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70

miles...110 km.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb...29.15 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels...

accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible

near the center of Dean.

Storm total rainfalls of 2 to 5 inches...with possible maximum

amounts of 7 inches in mountainous areas...are possible in

association with Dean. These rains could cause life-threatening

flash floods and mudslides.

Repeating the 500 am AST position...13.4 N...52.3 W. Movement

toward...west near 24 mph. Maximum sustained winds...75 mph.

Minimum central pressure...987 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane

Center at 800 am AST followed by the next complete advisory at 1100

am AST.

$$

Forecaster Beven

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml

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St. Lucia
St. Lucia
Caribbean
Guadeloupe
Guadeloupe
Caribbean
Barbados
Barbados
Caribbean
Puerto Rico
Puerto Rico
Caribbean
Salt lake city
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41. Re: Hurricane Dean

I apologize, I just realized how selfish my questions are regarding the resort after the storm since I leave 8/25! My thoughts and prayers are with the people who live there and all the tourist who will have to ride it out.

Sorry again!

Mississauga, Canada
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42. Re: Hurricane Dean

I realize the gravity of the situation and am not taking this lightly. Unfortunately for us it will be a matter of waiting to see what the tour operator decides to do (no insurance, big mistake). Lesson learned and could be an expensive one at that. I will not take any chances with myself or my daughter and if it comes down to it will take the financial hit if necessary. So for us it is just a waiting game at the moment. This is supposed to be a holiday not a survival game so for the moment I wait and check often.

USA
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43. Re: Hurricane Dean

As someone that has many dear friends living in and around Cancun and having also seen the damage from Wilma first-hand, I've been following this board very closely the past couple days.

While there's been a lot of good info, please don't be fooled by the people that are downplaying this or saying don't panic. I've read too many posts from people that seem to think that after the hurricane is gone that's it's business as usual. Did you not see Wilma? It takes weeks, months and even years to clean things up, electricity comes and go's - if you have it at all, the smell is absolutely horrible, there are often food and water shortages, it's the middle of summer and no fans or a/c. You do not want to mess with a hurricane - trust me! Obviously things can change in the next few days - and for the sake of my friends - I pray that they do...but if you have the option to move your vacation elsewhere, it would be an absolute no-brainer to me.

In the case of a hurricane, it's ok to panic!!!

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Cancun
Cancun
Quintana Roo, Mexico
United, Pennsylvania
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44. Re: Hurricane Dean

We do not go to Cancun until Oct. 20th. If for some horrible reason Dean hits as a 3 or 4, what do you think the impact will be for future travelers such as us?? I keep praying for everyone living there or planning to go there. Thanks!!

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Cancun
Cancun
Quintana Roo, Mexico
Massachusetts
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45. Re: Hurricane Dean

Just watched the Weather Channel AGAIN and Dr. Steve Lyons said; "right now, our best guess estimate is it ( Dean ) will hit the Yucatan Peninsula in five days". The Yucatan Peninsula is a very large area and as a result the weather forecasters are being very careful about targeting a specific area of the Yucatan Peninsula.

People worrying about over hype should also be aware that the forecasters will ALWAYS err on the side of caution, albeit; the worst case scenario and I think they are right in so doing. Another axiom; "better safe than sorry" !

Best of luck !

Peace!

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46. Re: Hurricane Dean

Brian-

It's impossible to say. In the case of Wilma, I think it was well-documented how well the area bounced back and cleaned up. The fact that the Cancun airport got hit so badly and was closed for so long was one of their biggest problems in terms of getting tourists back. For quite some time if you wanted to get into Cancun after Wilma, you had to fly into Merida and take the old highway in by bus as the main road was washed out.

No 2 hurricanes are the same, so the only way to know is to ride it out and see what happens.

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Cancun
Cancun
Quintana Roo, Mexico
Merida
Merida
Yucatan, Mexico
Cancun Airport
Cancun Airport
Cancun, Mexico
Cancun, Mexico
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47. Re: Hurricane Dean

Just remember one thing folks Wilma was off the charts and the damage was due to it sitting on us for 2 days which is very rare. Also remember Cancuns infrastructure can´t be compared to Fla or Texas or LA everything here is CEMENT no Sheetrock 2 by 4´s so we tend to bounce back alot faster than those affected in the States.

Yes Cancun Palace did just reopen however they redisigned the entire Hotel and added several floors and buildings, it was a renovation that they took their time on.

I am hoping we don't get hit ....again This time we have 2 Huge Palapas to worry about as well as everything in them.

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Texas
Texas
United States
Cancun
Cancun
Quintana Roo, Mexico
Tomball, Texas
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48. Re: Hurricane Dean

Updated:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/145027.shtml?5day?large

Tomball, Texas
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49. Re: Hurricane Dean

Another source:

wunderground.com/tropical/…a_topad

Northwest, England
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50. Re: Hurricane Dean

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/161450.shtml?

I like to read the discussion section above